ECON 410 — Interactive Module C

Convergence & Technology · Mankiw Ch. 9
Section 4 · Module C

Compare two countries with different fundamentals. See if/when they converge.

y per worker grows at g · sustained growth requires g > 0
Country A
20%
2.0%
2.0
Country B
30%
0.5%
2.0
k* Country A
5.04
k* Country B
25.6
y* ratio (B/A)
2.04
Conditional convergence?
No
Reading the chart
Two countries with same fundamentals but different starting k₀ → CONVERGE (catch-up growth). Different fundamentals → converge to DIFFERENT levels (no catch-up). The world looks more like the second case → conditional convergence holds, but absolute does not.

Real-world data — selected countries' fundamentals and per-capita GDP.

Country
Saving (s)
Pop. growth (n)
GDP/cap (PPP)
What you see
High-saving + low-population-growth countries are richer (top-left of the scatter). The pattern is consistent with Solow but EXPLAINS only part of cross-country variation. Institutions, geography, and human capital fill the rest.

Decompose U.S. real GDP growth into contributions from K, L, and TFP (the "Solow residual"). Adjust the input shares.

gY = α·gK + (1−α)·gL + gA
2.5%
1.0%
1.0%
0.33
α·gK
0.83%
(1−α)·gL
0.67%
gA (TFP)
1.00%
Total gY
2.50%
U.S. growth accounting
Postwar U.S. growth: gY ≈ 3%, of which gA (TFP) ≈ 1.5%, capital ≈ 1.0%, labor ≈ 0.5%. Half of long-run growth comes from technology — that's why we focus on R&D, innovation, and education in growth policy.